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War Stats Do Not Measure Up: Exploring the limits of knowledge with military casualty statistics in Ukraine and other wars, and what we can do to manage uncertainty
Authored by Ben Connable, this monograph is about the use and misuse of quantification in war, and uses a widely referenced statistic about drone-inflicted military casualties in the Ukraine War to demonstrate the need for a more effective approach to modern war analysis. To download a PDF copy, click here.
Battle Studies: The need for primary source research
Authored by the Battle Research Group's Ben Connable and James Sladden and originally published in September 2022, this paper explores why timely fieldwork, interviews and contemporary on-the-ground analysis are imperative to accurately filling the blank pages of conflict histories. To download a PDF copy, click here.
Battle Brief: The Battle of Tabqa Airbase 2014
Authored by Joseph Mathers, Daniel Wilkofsky, and Michael J. McNerney, this account of the Battle of Tabqa Airbase 2014, fought during the Syrian civil war, is the first instalment in the Battle Research Group’s Battle Brief series. Designed as a supplement to the existing Battle Studies series, each Battle Brief offers compact,open-source driven reporting on historical and ongoing battles. Click on the publication cover to view.
An AI Qualitative Research Experiment
A word-for-word transcript of the second part of a two-part, nonscientific experiment conducted by Ben Connable to determine how a large-language model (LLM) might perform in support of qualitative desk research. Click on the publication cover to view or click here to download a PDF copy.
War Researched by Humans: Battle Research Group's AI Policy
"While we certainly will use electronic devices and may make some limited use of narrow AI tools for simulation and other activities, this is generally a long-term bet on human cognition and interpersonal engagement. Based on our collective years of research expertise, we believe it is both a necessary and proper bet both for our team and for our chosen profession." – Click on the publication cover to read the Battle Research Group's Artificial Intelligence policy or click here to download a PDF copy.
Authored by Joseph Mathers and Daniel Wilkofsky, the second instalment in our Battle Brief series focuses on one of the overlooked fronts of Yemen's civil war: the Saudi-Yemen border. The Battle of Jabara Valley 2019 was fought between Ansar Allah and coalition forces and was equivalent to the confrontation of two brigade-sized ground forces. Click on the publication cover to view.
Battle Brief: The Battle of Jabara Valley 2019
Ben ConnablePhD, Executive DirectorJames SladdenPhD, Field Research Director
DUNS #: 13-741-2287SAM UEI: D61LVBLFEGP5CAGE Code: 12BC4
Contact: info@battleresearchgroup.org

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